Stephen Chaudoin

Stephen Chaudoin
Office	414 David Kinley Hall
Email	chaudoin@illinois.edu
Phone	678 637 8392
Address	Department of Political Science University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 420 David Kinley Hall Urbana, IL 61801

Beyond Zeroes and Ones: The Effect of Income on the Severity and Evolution of Civil Conflict
With Zachary Peskowitz and Christopher Stanton. Abstract: We analyze the severity and dynamics of civil wars, departing from analyses focused primarily on static models of the effect of income on the extensive margin of conflict. Comparing our results with analogous estimates that use a binary indicator for war, omitting conflict severity and state dependence significantly understates the effect of income on the costs of civil conflict in terms of loss of life. The more important results examine conflict dynamics. Civil conflicts are shown to be persistent, but except for the very poorest countries, conflicts do not appear to become more severe in response to past fighting. Download Paper: (Chaudoin, Peskowitz, and Stanton- SSRN). Download Data: [available on request]. Download Do Files: [available on request]. Related Presentations: "An Instrumental Variables Approach to the Effect of Economic Conditions on the Severity of Civil War," with Christopher Stanton and Zachary Peskowitz, Stanford GSB, presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL. April 2010.

Beyond Zeroes and Ones: The Effect of Income on the Severity and Evolution of Civil Conflict

With Zachary Peskowitz and Christopher Stanton.
Abstract: We analyze the severity and dynamics of civil wars, departing from analyses focused primarily on static models of the effect of income on the extensive margin of conflict. Comparing our results with analogous estimates that use a binary indicator for war, omitting conflict severity and state dependence significantly understates the effect of income on the costs of civil conflict in terms of loss of life. The more important results examine conflict dynamics. Civil conflicts are shown to be persistent, but except for the very poorest countries, conflicts do not appear to become more severe in response to past fighting.
Download Paper: (Chaudoin, Peskowitz, and Stanton- SSRN).
Download Data: [available on request].
Download Do Files: [available on request].
Related Presentations:
"An Instrumental Variables Approach to the Effect of Economic Conditions on the Severity of Civil War," with Christopher Stanton and Zachary Peskowitz, Stanford GSB, presented at the Annual Meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL. April 2010.